New York 4th — House 2026 General Election
The New York 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Laura Gillen the clear favorite at 78%, ahead of Republican Jeanine Driscoll at 22%. Laura Gillen is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Laura Gillen (incumbent) — 78%
- Jeanine Driscoll — 22%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.