New York 3rd — House 2026 General Election
The New York 3rd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Tom Suozzi at 72%, ahead of Republican Mike LiPetri at 28%. Tom Suozzi is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tom Suozzi (incumbent) — 72%
- Mike LiPetri — 28%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.