New York 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The New York 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Andrew Garbarino the clear favorite at 78%, ahead of Democrat Patrick Halpin at 22%. Andrew Garbarino is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Andrew Garbarino (incumbent) — 78%
- Patrick Halpin — 22%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.