New York 1st — House 2026 General Election
The New York 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Nick LaLota at 75%, ahead of Democrat Chris Gallant at 25%. Nick LaLota is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Chris Gallant has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Nick LaLota (incumbent) — 75%
- Chris Gallant — 25%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.