New York 1st — House 2026 General Election
The New York 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Nick LaLota the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Chris Gallant at 0%. Nick LaLota is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Chris Gallant has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Nick LaLota (incumbent) — 100%
- Chris Gallant — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.