New York 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New York 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Chris Gallant the heavy favorite at 94%, with Lukas Ventouras at 6%. Chris Gallant leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chris Gallant — 94%
- Lukas Ventouras — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.