New York Governor 2026 Rep Primary
The New York Governor rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Bruce Blakeman the heavy favorite at 91%, with Larry Sharpe at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Bruce Blakeman leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bruce Blakeman — 91%
- Larry Sharpe — 3%
- Pat Hahn — 3%
- David Tulley — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.