New York Governor 2026 General Election

The New York Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Kathy Hochul the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Republican Bruce Blakeman at 20%. Kathy Hochul has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Kathy Hochul — 80%
  2. Bruce Blakeman — 20%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model