Nevada 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Nevada 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model favors Susie Lee at 60%, ahead of James Lally at 37% in a 4-candidate field. Susie Lee is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Susie Lee (incumbent) — 60%
- James Lally — 37%
- Terrill Robinson — 2%
- Brandon West — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.