Nevada Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The Nevada Governor rep primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model makes Joe Lombardo the clear favorite at 85%, ahead of Barak Zilberberg at 3% in a 7-candidate field. Joe Lombardo is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Joe Lombardo (incumbent) — 85%
2. Barak Zilberberg — 3%
3. Donald J. Beaudry Jr. — 2%
4. M. Kameron Hawkins — 2%
5. Irina Hansen — 2%
6. Matthew Winterhawk — 2%
7. Jose M. Zalaya — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model