Nevada Governor 2026 General Election

The Nevada Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Joe Lombardo at 74%, ahead of Democrat Aaron Ford at 26%. Joe Lombardo is the incumbent and Aaron Ford has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Joe Lombardo (incumbent) — 74%
  2. Aaron Ford — 26%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model