Nevada Governor 2026 Dem Primary
The Nevada Governor dem primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model makes Aaron Ford the clear favorite at 86%, ahead of Alexis Hill at 3% in a 6-candidate field. Aaron Ford leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Aaron Ford — 86%
- Alexis Hill — 3%
- Emile Bouari — 3%
- Miqehl Bayfield — 3%
- Sunshine Arterburn — 3%
- James Cooper — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.