New Mexico Senate 2026 General Election
The New Mexico Senate general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Ben Ray Luján the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Larry Marker at 0%. Ben Ray Luján is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ben Ray Luján (incumbent) — 100%
- Larry Marker — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated September 11, 2026.