New Mexico 3rd — House 2026 General Election
The New Mexico 3rd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Teresa Leger Fernández the clear favorite at 78%, ahead of Republican Martin Zamora at 22%. Teresa Leger Fernández is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Teresa Leger Fernández (incumbent) — 78%
- Martin Zamora — 22%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.