New Mexico 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The New Mexico 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Gabe Vasquez at 70%, ahead of Republican Greg Cunningham at 30%. Gabe Vasquez is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Greg Cunningham has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Gabe Vasquez (incumbent) — 70%
- Greg Cunningham — 30%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.