New Mexico 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The New Mexico 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Gabe Vasquez the heavy favorite at 91%, with Republican Greg Cunningham at 9%. Gabe Vasquez is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Greg Cunningham has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Gabe Vasquez (incumbent) — 91%
- Greg Cunningham — 9%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.