New Mexico Governor 2026 Rep Primary
The New Mexico Governor rep primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model has Gregg Hull narrowly ahead of Doug Turner, 50% to 37% in a 4-candidate field. Doug Turner leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Gregg Hull — 50%
- Doug Turner — 37%
- Duke Rodriguez — 12%
- Jim Ellison — 1%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.