New Mexico Governor 2026 Dem Primary
The New Mexico Governor dem primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Deb Haaland edges Sam Bregman, 55% to 45%. Deb Haaland leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Deb Haaland — 55%
- Sam Bregman — 45%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.