New Mexico Governor 2026 Dem Primary
The New Mexico Governor dem primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Deb Haaland at 73%, ahead of Sam Bregman at 27%. Deb Haaland leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Deb Haaland — 73%
- Sam Bregman — 27%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.