New Jersey 11th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New Jersey 11th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Analilia Mejia the heavy favorite at 93%, with Joseph Lewis at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Analilia Mejia is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Analilia Mejia (incumbent) — 93%
- Joseph Lewis — 3%
- Justin Strickland — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.