New Jersey 8th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New Jersey 8th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Rob Menendez the clear favorite at 90%, ahead of Mussab Ali at 10%. Rob Menendez is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Rob Menendez (incumbent) — 90%
- Mussab Ali — 10%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.