New Jersey 7th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New Jersey 7th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Rebecca Bennett edges Tina Shah, 36% to 30% in a 4-candidate field. Rebecca Bennett leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Rebecca Bennett — 36%
- Tina Shah — 30%
- Brian Varela — 25%
- Michael Roth — 9%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.