New Jersey 4th — House 2026 General Election
The New Jersey 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Chris Smith the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Rachel Peace at 0%. Chris Smith is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chris Smith (incumbent) — 100%
- Rachel Peace — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.