New Jersey 4th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New Jersey 4th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Rachel Peace the heavy favorite at 95%, with John Blake at 5%. Rachel Peace leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Rachel Peace — 95%
- John Blake — 5%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.