New Jersey 3rd — House 2026 Rep Primary
The New Jersey 3rd — House rep primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Michael McGuire at 57%, ahead of Jason Cullen at 41% in a 3-candidate field. Michael McGuire leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Michael McGuire — 57%
- Jason Cullen — 41%
- Justin Barbera — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.