New Jersey 3rd — House 2026 Rep Primary
The New Jersey 3rd — House rep primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model sees a close race: Michael McGuire edges Jason Cullen, 51% to 47% in a 3-candidate field. Jason Cullen leads the field in reported fundraising and Michael McGuire has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Michael McGuire — 51%
- Jason Cullen — 47%
- Justin Barbera — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.