New Jersey 3rd — House 2026 General Election
The New Jersey 3rd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Herb Conaway the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Michael McGuire at 0%. Herb Conaway is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Herb Conaway (incumbent) — 100%
- Michael McGuire — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.