New Jersey 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The New Jersey 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Jeff Van Drew the heavy favorite at 92%, with Democrat Bayly Winder at 8%. Jeff Van Drew is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Bayly Winder has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jeff Van Drew (incumbent) — 92%
- Bayly Winder — 8%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.