New Jersey 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The New Jersey 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Bayly Winder at 71%, ahead of Zack Mullock at 23% in a 4-candidate field. Bayly Winder leads the field in reported fundraising and Tim Alexander has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bayly Winder — 71%
- Zack Mullock — 23%
- Tim Alexander — 4%
- Terri Reese — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.