New Jersey 1st — House 2026 General Election
The New Jersey 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Donald Norcross the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Damon Galdo at 0%. Donald Norcross is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Donald Norcross (incumbent) — 100%
- Damon Galdo — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.