New Hampshire Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The New Hampshire Senate dem primary is scheduled for September 8, 2026. The model makes Chris Pappas the heavy favorite at 92%, with Karishma Manzur at 4% in a 3-candidate field. Chris Pappas leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chris Pappas — 92%
- Karishma Manzur — 4%
- Jared Sullivan — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.