New Hampshire 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary

The New Hampshire 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for September 8, 2026. The model makes Maggie Goodlander the heavy favorite at 91%, with Paige Beauchemin at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Maggie Goodlander is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Maggie Goodlander (incumbent) — 91%
  2. Paige Beauchemin — 3%
  3. Dean Pennington — 3%
  4. Chris Tardif — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model