New Hampshire 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The New Hampshire 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for September 8, 2026. The model makes Anthony DiLorenzo the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Hollie Noveletsky at 8% in a 5-candidate field. Anthony DiLorenzo leads the field in reported fundraising and Hollie Noveletsky has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Anthony DiLorenzo — 82%
- Hollie Noveletsky — 8%
- Brian Cole — 4%
- Melissa Bailey — 3%
- Gavin Solomon — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.