New Hampshire Governor 2026 General Election
The New Hampshire Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Kelly Ayotte the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Democrat Cinde Warmington at 18%. Kelly Ayotte is the incumbent and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Kelly Ayotte (incumbent) — 82%
- Cinde Warmington — 18%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.