Nebraska 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Nebraska 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for May 12, 2026. The model has John Cavanaugh narrowly ahead of Denise Powell, 54% to 39% in a 6-candidate field. Denise Powell leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. John Cavanaugh — 54%
2. Denise Powell — 39%
3. Kishla Askins — 2%
4. Crystal Rhoades — 2%
5. Melanie Williams — 2%
6. Van Argyrakis — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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