Nebraska 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Nebraska 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for May 12, 2026. The model sees a close race: John Cavanaugh edges Denise Powell, 50% to 44% in a 6-candidate field. Denise Powell leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. John Cavanaugh — 50%
2. Denise Powell — 44%
3. Kishla Askins — 2%
4. Melanie Williams — 1%
5. Crystal Rhoades — 1%
6. Van Argyrakis — 1%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

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