Nebraska 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Nebraska 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Mike Flood the heavy favorite at 91%, with Democrat Chris Backemeyer at 9%. Mike Flood is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Flood (incumbent) — 91%
- Chris Backemeyer — 9%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.