North Carolina Senate 2026 Rep Primary
The North Carolina Senate rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Michael Whatley the clear favorite at 85%, ahead of Don Brown at 4% in a 6-candidate field. Michael Whatley leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Michael Whatley — 85%
- Don Brown — 4%
- Michele Morrow — 3%
- Thomas Johnson — 3%
- Richard Dansie — 3%
- Elizabeth Temple — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.