North Carolina Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The North Carolina Senate rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Michael Whatley the clear favorite at 87%, ahead of Don Brown at 3% in a 6-candidate field. Michael Whatley leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Michael Whatley — 87%
  2. Don Brown — 3%
  3. Michele Morrow — 3%
  4. Richard Dansie — 3%
  5. Thomas Johnson — 3%
  6. Elizabeth Temple — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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