North Carolina Senate 2026 General Election

The North Carolina Senate general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Roy Cooper at 72%, ahead of Republican Michael Whatley at 28%. Roy Cooper leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Roy Cooper — 72%
  2. Michael Whatley — 28%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model