North Carolina Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The North Carolina Senate dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Roy Cooper the clear favorite at 86%, ahead of Marcus Williams at 3% in a 6-candidate field. Roy Cooper leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Roy Cooper — 86%
- Marcus Williams — 3%
- Robert Colon — 3%
- Justin Dues — 3%
- Daryl Farrow — 3%
- Orrick Quick — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.