North Carolina Senate 2026 Dem Primary

The North Carolina Senate dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Roy Cooper the clear favorite at 87%, ahead of Orrick Quick at 3% in a 6-candidate field. Roy Cooper leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Roy Cooper — 87%
2. Orrick Quick — 3%
3. Marcus Williams — 3%
4. Robert Colon — 3%
5. Justin Dues — 3%
6. Daryl Farrow — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model