North Carolina 14th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The North Carolina 14th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Tim Moore the heavy favorite at 94%, with Kate Barr at 6%. Tim Moore is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tim Moore (incumbent) — 94%
- Kate Barr — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.