North Carolina 12th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The North Carolina 12th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Addul Ali the heavy favorite at 94%, with Jack Codiga at 6%. Addul Ali leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Addul Ali — 94%
- Jack Codiga — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.