North Carolina 12th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The North Carolina 12th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Alma Adams the heavy favorite at 97%, with Monaca Johnson-Williamson at 3%. Alma Adams is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Alma Adams (incumbent) — 97%
- Monaca Johnson-Williamson — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.