North Carolina 11th — House 2026 General Election
The North Carolina 11th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Jamie Ager at 55%, ahead of Republican Chuck Edwards at 45%. Jamie Ager leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements and incumbent Chuck Edwards trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jamie Ager — 55%
- Chuck Edwards (incumbent) — 45%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.