North Carolina 10th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The North Carolina 10th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Pat Harrigan the heavy favorite at 97%, with Matt Sin at 3%. Pat Harrigan is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Pat Harrigan (incumbent) — 97%
- Matt Sin — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.