North Carolina 10th — House 2026 General Election
The North Carolina 10th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Pat Harrigan the heavy favorite at 94%, with Democrat Ashley Bell at 6%. Pat Harrigan is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Ashley Bell has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Pat Harrigan (incumbent) — 94%
- Ashley Bell — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.