North Carolina 10th — House 2026 General Election
The North Carolina 10th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Pat Harrigan the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Ashley Bell at 0%. Pat Harrigan is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Ashley Bell has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Pat Harrigan (incumbent) — 100%
- Ashley Bell — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.