North Carolina 10th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The North Carolina 10th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model has West Caudle narrowly ahead of Ashley Bell, 52% to 16% in a 6-candidate field. West Caudle leads the field in reported fundraising and Ashley Bell has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- West Caudle — 52%
- Ashley Bell — 16%
- Mir Yarfitz — 12%
- Harry Morley — 7%
- Marcus Pearson — 6%
- Ralph Scott Jr. — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.