North Carolina 9th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The North Carolina 9th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Richard Ojeda the heavy favorite at 91%, with Nigel Bristow at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Richard Ojeda leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Richard Ojeda — 91%
- Nigel Bristow — 3%
- Loren Bibler — 3%
- Lent Carr II — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.