North Carolina 8th — House 2026 General Election
The North Carolina 8th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Mark Harris the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Colby Watson at 0%. Mark Harris is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mark Harris (incumbent) — 100%
- Colby Watson — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.