North Carolina 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The North Carolina 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Cyril Jefferson the clear favorite at 87%, ahead of Alysa Kassay at 5% in a 4-candidate field. Cyril Jefferson leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Cyril Jefferson — 87%
- Alysa Kassay — 5%
- Beau Blair — 4%
- Keith Davenport — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.