North Carolina 3rd — House 2026 General Election
The North Carolina 3rd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Greg Murphy the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Allison Jaslow at 0%. Greg Murphy is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Allison Jaslow has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Greg Murphy (incumbent) — 100%
- Allison Jaslow — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.