North Carolina 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The North Carolina 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Allison Jaslow at 74%, ahead of Raymond Smith Jr. at 26%. Allison Jaslow leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Allison Jaslow — 74%
- Raymond Smith Jr. — 26%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.