North Carolina 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The North Carolina 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Laurie Buckhout the clear favorite at 88%, ahead of Asa Buck at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Laurie Buckhout leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Laurie Buckhout — 88%
- Asa Buck — 3%
- Bobby Hanig — 3%
- Ashley-Nicole Russell — 3%
- Eric Rouse — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.