Montana Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Montana Senate rep primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Kurt Alme the heavy favorite at 95%, with Lee Calhoun at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Kurt Alme leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Kurt Alme — 95%
  2. Lee Calhoun — 3%
  3. Charles WalkingChild — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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