Montana Senate 2026 General Election
The Montana Senate general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Kurt Alme the clear favorite at 84%, ahead of independent Seth Bodnar at 16% in a 3-candidate field. Seth Bodnar leads the field in reported fundraising and Kurt Alme has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Kurt Alme — 84%
- Seth Bodnar — 16%
- Alani Bankhead — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.